In Phase 3 of the development of the Plan, alternative future scenarios will be developed and then evaluated using criteria from Phase 2. Scenarios represent a range of potential but realistic futures.

The analysis of alternative scenarios will help determine the recommended strategy and supporting policies which will be included in the final Plan. The analysis will be based on modelling (forecasts of travel), as well as on input from the public and key stakeholders.

Alternative Scenarios for the Future

To develop the future alternative scenarios that will be evaluated in Phase 3, we need to consider potential measures that could best address the current and future needs of interprovincial travel between Ottawa and Gatineau.

The section below (Exhibit 1) lists potential measures that are being considered. The measures are grouped in six categories:

  • Transit infrastructure and services
  • New Mobility (such as ridesharing, electric scooters, and driverless cars)
  • Ways to better manage travel (transportation demand management)
  • Road infrastructure
  • Active transportation (cycling and walking)
  • The movement of goods

Taken together, the potential measures account for the availability of new and future technologies, and for infrastructure and services that enable the movement of people and goods in a sustainable way.

Exhibit 1: Potential Measures and Outcomes for Alternative Scenario Development

MEASURES

POTENTIAL OUTCOMES

Transit Infrastructure and Services

More frequent transit service in periods other than rush hour

  • More frequent transit service midday, evenings, nights and weekends

A more unified service between OC Transpo and STO

  • Easier to cross provincial boundaries and switch between OC Transpo and STO services

Direct connections between Ottawa and Gatineau suburbs

  • Faster and easier suburb-to-suburb travel by transit

All-day shuttle between downtowns using HOV lanes (i.e., lanes restricted to vehicles that carry at least two or three passengers, possibly driverless shuttles)

  • Faster, easier and more reliable downtown-to-downtown travel
  • Possibly reduced car lanes and car carrying capacity

Rapid transit across the Ottawa River (e.g. bus-only lane, light rail transit, etc.)

  • Faster and more reliable interprovincial transit service
  • Reduced car lanes and car carrying capacity

New Mobility

Interprovincial bikeshare and e-bikeshare system

  • Ability to pick up and drop off a shared bike or e-bike on both sides of the Ottawa River

Interprovincial carshare system (short-term car rental)

  • Ability to pick up and drop off a carshare vehicle (short-term car rental) on both sides of the Ottawa River

Easy and convenient travel options combined with transit (e.g., pay only one fare to use transit and another travel option such as a carshare or bikeshare service)

  • Ability to use multiple ways of travelling under one payment (e.g., bikeshare + transit + Lyft)

Transportation Demand Management

Increased work-from-home opportunity

  • Reduced demand for cross-river travel resulting in less cars using the bridges

Move workplaces from Ottawa to Gatineau and/or increase the number of workplaces in Gatineau

  • More balanced level of travel demand in each direction, reducing pressure during the rush hour

Road tolls on interprovincial bridges

  • Incentive to increase the number of people in each vehicle
  • Incentive to use different ways of getting around

Road Infrastructure

HOV Lanes (i.e., lanes restricted to vehicles that carry at least two or three passengers)

  • Shorter travel times by car for vehicles with multiple passengers
  • Reduction of the number of vehicles while maintaining people movement

Increased crossing capacity, including new bridge(s)

  • Shorter travel times by vehicle
  • Improved road network connectivity

Increased ferry services between Ontario and Québec

  • More transportation options

Active Transportation (such as walking, cycling and scooting)

Fully separated multi-use pathways and sidewalks along the bridges

  • Safer, more comfortable experience for all road users
  • Possible reduced car lanes and carrying capacity

Fully connected and integrated Region-wide multi-use pathway network

  • Access to interprovincial bike infrastructure, without gaps where bike infrastructure is not available
  • Safer, faster, more reliable and comfortable experience for people who bike and other road users
  • Possible reduced car lanes and carrying capacity in areas across the Region

Use of Prince of Wales Bridge for active transportation only

  • Additional safe crossing for active transportation users
  • Provides an additional active transportation connection to Bayview LRT station in Ottawa

Goods Movement

Encourage the use of smaller delivery vehicles and “microhub distribution centres” (i.e., smaller storage centres in several locations instead of one large warehouse)

  • Reduced presence of large trucks and associated safety, environmental and quality of life challenges
  • Possible increase in the number of delivery vehicles to maintain delivery capacity

Small and low-carbon trucks allowed to use HOV lanes (i.e., lanes restricted to vehicles that carry at least two or three passengers)

  • Faster and more reliable travel time for goods delivered using small and low carbon vehicles

Permits and reservations for on-street loading

  • Faster, safer and more reliable delivery of goods